AA 2777 · LAX → MIA

departs 10:46 PM PT · arrives 7:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2777 · LAX → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?