Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2808 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2808 · FLL → LGA

departs 5:49 PM ET · arrives 8:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2808 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?