Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2820SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2820 · PHL → PHX
departs 9:45 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.