AA 2946 · CLT → MCI

took off 9:54 AM ET · landed 10:54 AM CT (scheduled 8:33 AM ET → 9:58 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,620 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2946 · CLT → MCI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCI?