tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3040 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 3040 · ORD → MIA

took off 5:55 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:33 PM CT → 9:57 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
71% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    28%
  2. 15–30 min late
    30%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    19%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.