Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3083 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

AA 3083 · DFW → MIA

departs 3:39 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3083 · DFW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?