AA 3207 · DCA → BOS

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 51% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,167 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3207 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?