tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3216 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

AA 3216 · MIA → BWI

took off 7:08 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:36 PM ET → 9:23 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.