AA 3257 · MIA → SAV

departs 10:17 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at SAV that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

SAV (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3257 · MIA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?