Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3261SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 3261 · ORD → PHX
departs 5:19 PM CT · arrives 7:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
53%chance · ±0 pts−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.