AA 558 · DFW → SLC

departs 6:48 PM CT · arrives 8:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±2 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

SLC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?