Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 558 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

departs 6:48 PM CT · arrives 8:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±8 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.98 in

SLC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 558 · DFW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?