AS 1355 · LAX → PDX

departs 11:23 AM PT · arrives 1:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1355 · LAX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?