Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1355 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 1355 · LAX → PDX

departs 11:23 AM PT · arrives 1:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1355 · LAX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?