Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1468SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1468 · SMF → SEA
departs 10:23 AM PT · arrives 12:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
36%chance · ±0 pts+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.