Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1468 · SMF → SEA
departs 10:23 AM PT · arrives 12:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to SEA?
-
On time or early
77%
-
15–30 min late
8%
-
30 min–1 hour late
12%
-
1–2 hours late
2%
-
Over 2 hours late
1%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.