tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1493 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AS 1493 · SAN → ORD

departs 5:23 PM PT · arrives 11:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    24%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.