Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1507 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AS 1507 · SEA → FAI

departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 2:55 PM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.8d 2d 1d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to FAI?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.