Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1519 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 1519 · MCI → PDX

departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 7:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 5pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1519 · MCI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?