Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1522 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AS 1522 · LAX → SFO

departs 1:28 PM PT · arrives 2:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.