Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1544 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 1544 · ANC → OME

departs 3:25 PM AKT · arrives 5:01 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OME?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OME

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.53 in

OME (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1544 · ANC → OME

Odds over time

How late will it get to OME?