AS 209 · SEA → JNU

took off 12:19 PM PT · landed 1:34 PM AKDT (scheduled 11:24 AM PT → 12:56 PM AKDT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JNU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into JNU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JNU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 209 · SEA → JNU

Odds over time

How late did it get to JNU?