AS 310 · SEA → DEN

departs 7:00 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 310 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?