Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 50 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 50 · HNL → ANC

departs 9:11 PM HT · arrives 5:20 AM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 9pm departures from HNL are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.66 in

ANC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 50 · HNL → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?