AS 523 · SNA → BOI

took off 12:21 PM PT · landed 3:09 PM MT (scheduled 12:13 PM PT → 3:30 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from SNA are often late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 523 · SNA → BOI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOI?