AS 523 · SNA → BOI

departs 12:12 PM PT · arrives 3:23 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOI?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from SNA are often late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

BOI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 523 · SNA → BOI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOI?