AS 64 · ANC → JNU

took off 11:04 AM AKT · landed 12:21 PM AKDT (scheduled 10:31 AM AKT → 12:13 PM AKDT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JNU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ Other factors

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.90 in

JNU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,967 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 64 · ANC → JNU

Odds over time

How late did it get to JNU?