Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 686SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 686 · SEA → PDX
departs 3:55 PM PT · arrives 4:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.