Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 879 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 879 · PDX → HNL

departs 7:46 AM PT · arrives 10:36 AM HT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.9 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 879 · PDX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?