Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 879 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 879 · PDX → HNL

departs 7:46 AM PT · arrives 10:36 AM HT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 879 · PDX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?