AS 923 · OAK → OGG

took off 7:08 AM PT · landed 8:46 AM HT (scheduled 7:00 AM PT → 9:17 AM HT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OGG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ OAK is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 5% of the time recently

↓ 7am departures from OAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 923 · OAK → OGG

Odds over time

How late did it get to OGG?