Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 102
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday
B6 102 · JFK → BUF
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 28%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.