Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 102
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 102 · JFK → BUF
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±10 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BUF that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.