Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1447 LANDED 8:38 AM ET, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

B6 1447 · HPN → TPA

took off 6:32 AM ET · landed 8:38 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1447 · HPN → TPA

Odds over time