B6 2201 · JFK → FLL

departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 3:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2201 · JFK → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?