B6 2255 · BOS → DCA

departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2255 · BOS → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?