Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 26
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
B6 26 · TPA → JFK
departs 7:08 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 41%
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.