Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 26
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 26 · TPA → JFK
departs 6:53 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±4 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.45 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.