Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2754 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

B6 2754 · DCA → BOS

took off 8:02 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:55 PM ET → 8:30 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2754 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?