Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 491
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
B6 491 · BUF → LAX
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 29%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.