DL 1156 · AUS → BOS

took off 3:42 PM CT · expected to land 8:16 PM ET (scheduled 2:30 PM CT → 7:42 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
85%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.14 in

BOS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1156 · AUS → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?