DL 1156 · AUS → BOS

departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 7:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±5 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 733 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling733 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.23 in

BOS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1156 · AUS → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?