Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1156
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1156 · AUS → BOS
departs 2:30 PM CT · arrives 7:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 1.56 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.