DL 1245 · MSP → GRR

departs 12:47 PM CT · arrives 3:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at GRR that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1245 · MSP → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?