Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1489 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

DL 1489 · ATL → FLL

took off 8:02 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:58 PM ET → 9:56 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1489 · ATL → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?