Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
DL 1542 · MSP → LAS
departs 2:51 PM CT · arrives 4:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 12%
Fri 10/2 12%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.