DL 1555 · GRR → MSP

took off 6:39 PM ET · landed 6:45 PM CT (scheduled 7:18 PM ET → 7:57 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from GRR are often late

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.35 in

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1555 · GRR → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?