DL 161 · AMS → MSP

took off 11:52 AM CEST · landed 12:51 PM CT (scheduled 9:42 AM CEST → 11:14 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MSP that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 161 · AMS → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?