DL 1657 · MSP → MCI

departs 9:30 PM CT · arrives 10:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSP that day

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1657 · MSP → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?