DL 165 · AMS → MSP

departs 2:42 PM CEST · arrives 4:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 165 · AMS → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?