DL 2009 · ATL → SAT

took off 2:01 PM ET · landed 2:59 PM CT (scheduled 1:45 PM ET → 3:10 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2009 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?